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Red25
151024.3
37125.5
281114.9
Blue9
5682.3
36732.4
48819.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53260406080100120140259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.2
23.822.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
488
#10
19.81.0
20.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2811
#18
14.91.2
17.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3673
#56
2.41.5
4.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#32
5.51.8
7.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
568
#49
2.31.5
4.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End