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Red50
9550.4
384110.9
95623.1
Blue21
37125.5
25177.9
367411.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040506070805021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
#15
23.11.3
22.223.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
3674
#43
11.30.4
11.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3841
#11
10.91.3
9.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
7.90.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
955
#57
0.41.3
-0.90.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3712
#32
5.50.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End