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Red95
154030.1
84710.5
151024.3
Blue107
273322.0
142530.7
20876.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6553020408010012014095107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
30.10.5
29.630.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1425
#35
30.70.9
29.430.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.30.5
23.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
22.00.9
20.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
847
#14
10.50.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2087
#50
6.51.1
5.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End