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Quarterfinal 2-22011 Philadelphia Regional
Red35
43310.5
30414.3
39529.7
Blue42
31616.5
48626.6
139113.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556101001503542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#5
29.70.4
30.2→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
486
#6
26.60.3
27.7→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
304
#23
14.30.5
15.1→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
316
#27
16.50.3
17.6→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
433
#31
10.50.4
11.0→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
1391
#7
13.70.3
14.8→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—