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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Philadelphia Regional
Red63
5630.7
130221.9
10330.0
Blue59
27230.0
35536.1
83417.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934801502006359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#10
30.70.4
31.8→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
272
#9
30.00.1
30.3→30.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
103
#4
30.00.4
31.1→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.1
834
#28
17.90.1
18.2→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1302
#15
21.90.4
23.0→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.8
3553
#45
6.10.1
6.5→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—