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Qual 12011 Philadelphia Regional
Red18
876.2
14955.5
31673.7
Blue7
25594.5
28954.8
3577.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions980203040187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87
#14
6.20.6
-1.0→-0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
357
#24
7.80.2
5.8→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1495
#21
5.50.8
4.3→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
2895
#43
4.80.2
0.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3167
#34
3.70.8
5.4→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
2559
#50
4.50.2
2.5→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—