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Qual 122011 Philadelphia Regional
Red0
25594.5
2248.7
31820.6
Blue66
36911.3
10330.0
36295.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7360206080100066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
#53
8.70.7
6.7→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 21.3
103
#4
30.02.1
20.4→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2559
#50
4.50.9
2.4→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.8
369
#29
11.32.7
6.7→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3182
#55
0.60.6
2.0→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.7
3629
#22
5.32.9
4.3→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—