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Qual 142011 Philadelphia Regional
Red26
31616.5
28954.8
312312.7
Blue55
137013.0
164728.4
35536.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2120103040502655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#27
16.50.3
8.9→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.9
1647
#1
28.42.1
16.1→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3123
#32
12.70.3
11.0→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
1370
#18
13.02.3
1.9→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2895
#43
4.80.5
0.5→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
3553
#45
6.12.9
1.9→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—