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Qual 192011 Philadelphia Regional
Red0
14955.5
83417.9
31820.6
Blue54
223413.5
19809.1
164728.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174206080100120054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#28
17.91.3
14.2→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.5
1647
#1
28.40.9
18.3→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1495
#21
5.51.7
5.1→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.0
2234
#38
13.51.0
14.6→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3182
#55
0.61.0
1.4→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.5
1980
#33
9.11.2
5.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—