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Qual 332011 Philadelphia Regional
Red3
25399.3
36295.3
2037.0
Blue33
1791-0.9
253418.4
137013.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211901030405060333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#44
9.31.4
8.3→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.1
2534
#17
18.40.6
15.4→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
203
#54
7.01.4
1.7→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
1370
#18
13.00.7
4.6→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3629
#22
5.31.4
9.7→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
1791
#52
-0.91.1
0.2→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—