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Qual 412011 Philadelphia Regional
Red22
260712.2
43310.5
7091.2
Blue51
25399.3
31673.7
81620.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5350204060802251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#16
12.20.6
7.4→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.2
816
#11
20.41.0
14.9→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
433
#31
10.50.6
5.4→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
2539
#44
9.31.7
6.9→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
709
#51
1.20.6
-3.4→-2.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
3167
#34
3.71.7
8.5→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—