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Qual 452011 Philadelphia Regional
Red0
36295.3
2046.0
14955.5
Blue65
48414.0
171210.7
139113.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18270406080100065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#48
6.01.0
4.5→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.9
484
#26
14.02.0
8.4→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1495
#21
5.51.6
6.3→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.2
1391
#7
13.72.0
10.6→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3629
#22
5.31.6
8.3→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.4
1712
#35
10.73.3
6.4→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—