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Qual 582011 Philadelphia Regional
Red38
26411.5
223413.5
39529.7
Blue9
36295.3
301518.9
31673.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4631020406080389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#5
29.70.3
28.6→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.7
3015
#42
18.91.2
20.5→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2234
#38
13.50.3
14.1→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
3629
#22
5.32.0
4.8→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2641
#25
1.50.3
0.6→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
3167
#34
3.72.0
7.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—