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Qual 722011 Philadelphia Regional
Red77
139113.7
30414.3
164020.0
Blue6
223413.5
31820.6
253418.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4730020406080100120776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#2
20.01.6
18.3→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
2534
#17
18.41.3
18.7→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
304
#23
14.32.7
12.5→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
2234
#38
13.51.3
13.9→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1391
#7
13.71.6
13.2→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.1
3182
#55
0.61.3
-0.3→-1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—