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Qual 782011 Philadelphia Regional
Red51
36536.5
272915.8
20534.6
Blue65
164728.4
139113.7
81620.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59640501001502005165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#8
36.50.4
38.7→38.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
1647
#1
28.40.1
29.2→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2729
#40
15.80.4
16.2→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.6
816
#11
20.40.1
19.4→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2053
#19
4.60.4
5.0→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.1
1391
#7
13.70.1
14.9→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—