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Qual 832011 Philadelphia Regional
Red56
140323.5
301518.9
25399.3
Blue86
34136.2
36911.3
19809.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495302040801001201401605686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#12
23.50.3
22.3→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
341
#3
36.21.7
35.4→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3015
#42
18.90.3
18.6→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
369
#29
11.31.7
9.7→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2539
#44
9.30.5
8.8→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
1980
#33
9.11.7
7.4→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—