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Red3
137013.0
19809.1
22297.3
Blue66
39529.7
43310.5
7087.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829020406080366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
#18
13.00.6
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
395
#5
29.72.9
24.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1980
#33
9.10.7
5.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
433
#31
10.52.5
2.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2229
#46
7.30.7
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
708
#36
7.82.9
-1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End