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Red38
26039.8
31938.1
20514.4
Blue3
33564.6
7713.9
26562.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2510020406080383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#27
9.81.3
10.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3356
#39
4.60.7
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3193
#31
8.11.3
5.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
771
#28
3.90.7
5.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2051
#36
4.41.3
7.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2656
#35
2.80.7
3.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End