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Red32
33717.5
35043.2
261417.2
Blue7
31938.1
3066.5
154110.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442106080100327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#7
17.50.7
15.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1541
#33
10.21.4
10.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.20.7
17.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3193
#31
8.11.4
7.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3504
#30
3.20.7
6.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
306
#29
6.51.4
5.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End