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Red20
26039.8
34924.0
21723.9
Blue4
35043.2
30627.9
20514.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210304050204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#27
9.80.5
9.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3062
#19
7.91.1
9.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3492
#38
4.00.5
-0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2051
#36
4.41.0
5.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2172
#18
3.90.5
3.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3504
#30
3.21.1
5.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End