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Red102
15186.3
21742.5
205642.3
Blue53
34023.9
31579.3
112632.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966005015020010253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
42.50.2
42.542.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
32.50.3
32.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
42.30.2
42.242.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
340
#12
23.90.3
23.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
#17
6.30.2
6.36.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3157
#34
9.30.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End