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Red45
14510.8
155113.9
16408.4
Blue38
379912.1
1749.9
151115.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37371020305060704538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#25
13.90.2
15.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1511
#11
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
145
#5
10.80.2
11.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#24
8.40.2
9.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
174
#27
9.90.0
9.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End