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Qual 122011 Finger Lakes Regional
Red43
71615.2
23407.1
151115.5
Blue6
16408.4
20535.2
17651.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23100406080436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#11
15.51.8
13.3→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.2
1640
#24
8.40.5
4.2→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
716
#7
15.21.8
5.5→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.0
2053
#37
5.20.5
5.1→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2340
#31
7.11.8
2.7→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
1765
#33
1.80.5
2.4→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—