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Red30
18815.7
38381.5
15618.6
Blue97
31815.5
301515.9
112632.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26240204060803097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#10
18.60.4
7.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
32.56.0
15.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
188
#42
15.70.4
16.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3015
#16
15.96.0
7.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3838
#38
1.50.4
1.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
3181
#39
5.56.0
1.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End