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Red52
19126.6
31815.5
22923.9
Blue28
20535.2
63915.1
379912.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332204060801001205228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#4
26.61.7
16.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
639
#22
15.10.3
7.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
#9
23.91.7
7.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
12.10.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
#39
5.51.7
7.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2053
#37
5.20.3
4.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End