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Red62
14053.5
205642.3
71615.2
Blue5
2508.6
18815.7
14510.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4828020406080100120625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.4
34.035.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
188
#42
15.72.2
16.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#7
15.21.4
10.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
145
#5
10.82.2
9.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
#28
3.51.4
1.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
250
#26
8.62.2
5.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End