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Red44
301515.9
115313.5
2508.6
Blue36
22923.9
300310.9
16408.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28240102040506070804436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#16
15.91.4
11.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
229
#9
23.91.0
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
#14
13.51.4
12.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3003
#36
10.91.0
8.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
250
#26
8.61.4
3.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1640
#24
8.41.0
6.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End