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Red12
15186.3
301515.9
10756.4
Blue29
15858.9
14510.8
2114.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2120010304050601229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#16
15.90.7
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
145
#5
10.80.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1075
#23
6.40.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1585
#15
8.90.7
6.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
#17
6.30.7
2.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
211
#40
4.90.7
5.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End