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Red49
112632.5
14510.8
36132.3
Blue10
1749.9
2114.9
2508.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21170103040506070804910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.52.4
9.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
174
#27
9.90.6
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
145
#5
10.82.4
7.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
250
#26
8.60.6
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3613
#30
2.33.3
2.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
211
#40
4.90.6
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End