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Red3
14053.5
1749.9
31815.5
Blue54
15288.3
10756.4
379912.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29180406080100354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
#27
9.91.8
13.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
12.12.5
12.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3181
#39
5.51.8
8.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1528
#20
8.32.5
4.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
#28
3.51.9
5.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1075
#23
6.42.5
3.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End