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Red21
36132.3
300310.9
18815.7
Blue46
63915.1
14510.8
19126.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245204060801001202146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#42
15.70.5
15.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
191
#4
26.60.1
25.024.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3003
#36
10.90.5
10.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
639
#22
15.10.1
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3613
#30
2.30.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
145
#5
10.80.1
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End