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Red0
73-2.5
14053.5
15912.5
Blue1
15858.9
31737.0
17651.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12440608010001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#28
3.50.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1585
#15
8.91.3
10.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1591
#41
2.50.3
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3173
#21
7.01.3
6.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
73
#44
-2.50.3
-2.2-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1765
#33
1.81.3
3.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End