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Red32
23407.1
115313.5
222815.0
Blue2
36132.3
31815.5
28526.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39110206080100322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.2
14.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
2852
#32
6.10.9
7.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
#14
13.50.2
12.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
3181
#39
5.50.9
6.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2340
#31
7.10.2
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3613
#30
2.30.9
1.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End