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Red40
15618.6
15186.3
379912.1
Blue35
15288.3
31579.3
36132.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46802060801001201404035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#10
18.60.0
18.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3157
#34
9.31.4
5.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.10.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1528
#20
8.31.4
6.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
#17
6.30.0
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3613
#30
2.31.3
0.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End