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Red82
115313.5
19126.6
155113.9
Blue9
14510.8
38381.5
1749.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33150406080100120829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#4
26.64.3
13.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
145
#5
10.80.7
10.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1551
#25
13.94.3
7.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
174
#27
9.90.7
5.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1153
#14
13.54.3
9.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3838
#38
1.50.7
2.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End