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Red82
150726.8
61034.8
22289.9
Blue2
155111.9
31737.4
37819.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78480100150822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
34.80.4
35.335.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
378
Unranked
19.22.5
26.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1507
Unranked
26.80.4
26.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
1551
Unranked
11.92.5
13.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2228
Unranked
9.90.4
12.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3173
Unranked
7.42.5
12.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End