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Red18
155111.9
23404.6
57810.9
Blue23
22916.8
37915.2
31737.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2666040801001201401601823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
Unranked
11.90.8
13.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
229
Unranked
16.81.8
24.622.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
Unranked
10.90.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
379
Unranked
15.21.8
21.119.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2340
Unranked
4.60.7
8.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3173
Unranked
7.41.8
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End