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Qual 32011 Sacramento Regional
Red5
128015.7
345612.3
13511.6
Blue23
385913.2
11412.0
21442.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21120406080100523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#18
15.71.2
11.2→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
3859
#6
13.29.3
13.2→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3456
#13
12.322.3
24.2→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
114
#14
12.00.8
5.5→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1351
#52
1.61.2
5.4→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
2144
#25
2.10.8
5.0→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—