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Red3
21442.1
32566.3
167115.9
Blue19
30132.3
22043.5
66813.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28110204050607080319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.9
10.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
668
#19
13.80.4
8.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3256
#40
6.31.9
10.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2204
#33
3.50.4
1.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2144
#25
2.11.9
4.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3013
#11
2.30.4
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End