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Red12
21442.1
32965.3
186820.2
Blue0
21563.4
35542.6
366912.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28170406080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.2
16.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
3669
#29
12.41.6
10.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3296
#24
5.31.2
7.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2156
#32
3.41.6
4.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2144
#25
2.11.2
2.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3554
#44
2.61.6
3.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End