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Qual 422011 Sacramento Regional
Red60
31891.7
167832.2
325010.7
Blue3
2141-1.8
15699.5
15164.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812020406080603

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#2
32.22.8
19.6→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.7
1569
#8
9.51.0
8.3→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3250
#9
10.72.8
7.1→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
1516
#50
4.11.0
2.1→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3189
#38
1.72.8
-0.7→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
2141
#53
-1.81.0
4.3→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—