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Red12
11594.6
32566.3
167832.2
Blue9
2489-0.2
13511.6
186820.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412006080100129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.22.2
26.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
20.21.2
17.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3256
#40
6.32.2
7.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1351
#52
1.61.2
2.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1159
#36
4.62.2
4.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2489
#45
-0.21.2
3.32.1
Auto
Teleop
End