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Red10
207310.3
22043.5
273311.6
Blue43
128015.7
32577.2
31891.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291504060801001043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#20
11.61.4
12.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1280
#18
15.72.1
9.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2073
#16
10.31.4
8.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3257
#39
7.22.1
7.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2204
#33
3.51.4
5.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3189
#38
1.72.1
0.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End