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Qual 682011 Sacramento Regional
Red46
186820.2
20856.7
385913.2
Blue26
22043.5
35034.9
245614.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282104060804626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#4
20.21.5
16.4→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
2456
#12
14.40.3
13.1→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3859
#6
13.21.5
6.5→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
3503
#35
4.90.3
4.7→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2085
#22
6.71.6
4.3→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
2204
#33
3.50.3
4.2→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—