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Red44
7017.8
167115.9
21563.4
Blue33
35984.6
245614.4
32566.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192401030405060704433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.8
15.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2456
#12
14.40.7
13.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
#7
7.81.8
4.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3256
#40
6.30.7
5.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2156
#32
3.41.8
0.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3598
#30
4.60.7
4.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End