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Qual 842011 Sacramento Regional
Red42
66813.8
35542.6
11412.0
Blue0
23905.7
6925.3
32577.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25210406080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#19
13.81.4
12.4→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
3257
#39
7.21.5
8.7→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
114
#14
12.01.2
10.4→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
2390
#34
5.71.6
7.2→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3554
#44
2.61.2
1.5→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
692
#42
5.31.5
5.8→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—