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Qual 472011 Palmetto Regional
Red3
19591.2
33910.2
219.4
Blue17
261419.4
12939.0
34751.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23320406080317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#14
10.21.8
11.8→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.2
2614
#3
19.40.7
17.2→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
21
#18
9.41.1
7.1→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1293
#22
9.01.1
9.7→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1959
#42
1.21.8
5.1→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
3475
#34
1.11.1
3.6→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—