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Red18
110215.7
31968.0
34904.1
Blue63
275118.8
187611.3
9513.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223504060801001863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#20
15.70.5
13.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2751
#12
18.82.3
13.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3196
#13
8.00.5
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
95
#11
13.51.5
11.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3490
#35
4.10.5
1.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
1876
#30
11.32.3
8.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End