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Red0
1128.5
261419.4
12939.0
Blue15
34322.6
128710.3
275118.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62500204080100120140015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#7
28.51.3
29.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
343
#4
22.60.8
22.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.41.0
20.419.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2751
#12
18.80.8
18.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1293
#22
9.01.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1287
#16
10.30.8
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End