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Qual 202011 San Diego Regional
Red18
138811.4
154017.8
37040.6
Blue3
25438.4
35006.2
28279.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2810020406080183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#8
17.80.6
12.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
2827
#33
9.50.8
3.3→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1388
#38
11.40.6
9.3→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
2543
#40
8.40.8
6.9→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3704
#20
0.60.6
3.7→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.6
3500
#31
6.20.8
2.8→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—